Is it India or Australia?

This is the match we are all looking for? Australia vs. India, Two big favorites in this world cup. But after this match one team have to leave. But I’m sure both the teams don’t like it. But that’s the game. So they will give there all for this match. This will be a great match to watch.

So today I’m going to talk about this match. In my yesterday article I have introduce a system to predict the team which has an advantage in the game. So if you haven’t read it please follow this link,

 http://cricketkick4all.blogspot.com/2011/03/are-you-ready-for-quarter-finals.html

So depending on that structure I will give marks,

Let’s consider the ground support,

Definitely this is for India. But they haven’t performed well under those conditions well. It will be a huge pressure for India to play this type of match in their country. Australia can handle these conditions. But the pitch is more suitable for India and it will give some advantage to them. So I will give 2.5% for Australia and 2.5% for India in this factor.

Then I will talk about Luck, captaincy and other things. We can’t give marks for luck. But in captaincy ponting is in front. Australians can handle pressure well when we campier to India. So I will give 3% to Australia and 2% to India.

Then the important thing, Toss

When we look at the records of past world cup matches, two matches have played in this ground. One match won by the team batting 1^st and other match have won by the team batting 2^nd. So that is not good enough to get an idea. But when we look at the team performances we know India have the number one batting line up in the world. They can chance 400 runs also. They have that talent. So it is very difficult to set a target to India. In other hand their balling department is not good.  It’s very difficult to defend 275 with their ballers. So if India bats first they have to think about that and set a target. They have to take risk in that. Then Australia can plan their innings well. But if Australia bats first they can’t set a target and because of that India ballers have chance. Also with this batting line up they can chance it. So I think if India win the toss and they ball first they have 6% and if Australia ball first they have 6%.

But I can’t say what will do these teams? And most probably they will take the decision according to the pitch. But I think the pitch will not chance in both innings and above factor will affect more than that. That will affect physiologically to all the players.

Get the performances of India and Australia players

Then I will go to the batting.

India is in front. They have four century scores and sachin scored twice in this world cup. But, no centuries for Australia. All the top order indian batsman have experience and all of them are in good form. Dhoni and gambhir have to score and others are in good form. So with this batting line up they can reach 270 very easily. they have hitting power with yusuf pathan . Also yuvaraj, Dhoni can hit sixes in last overs. But in Australia,Watson,haddin and clark is in some form. But ponting have to score.  So after consider all these factors I will give &% to India and 3% Australia.

Then the balling,

We have seen that India were unable to defend 300 runs twise in this worldcup. Their ballers haven’t ball well. Zahir khan is the only baller who balls well. They haven’t received much with Harbujan. Munaf have taken wickets but go for some runs. In the last match Ashvin have balled well and I think India have to use him. Because Australians are week against spinners and he is new to them. In other hand when we look at the Australian balling lee is in good form. Jhonson have balled well in 1^st matches, but in last matches he goes for few runs. Tait is a wicket taking baller, but he have to be accurate with the Indian quality batsman.

Indians are good with spinners. So I don’t think krcjza can do lot. But when we campier the balling of these two teams Australia are in front.  I will give 6% to Australia and 4% for India.

Then we have to consider fielding and no doubt Australia is in front. They are very active in the field. They will cut off 20-30 runs; sometimes they take half chances etc. So we will give 6% to Australia and 4% to India.

Now let’s add all the points,

India has 45.5 and Australia has 44.5. Toss will give other points. So if India wins the toss and choose to ball first, they have a good chance. In other hand Australia can do something if they ball first. But I’m sure this will be a close match. But India has a little advantage.

Please look at sachin, shewag, yuvaraj, kholi, dhoni, gambhir. If two of them gets going India have a good chance put some runs on the bord. Lee, tait, jhonson have the responsibility of restrict them. They have to ball in good areas and try to reduce run rate.

In other hand India may be in trouble if ponting gets going. They don’t have quality ballers and harbujan and zaheer have to do lot. But I think India should introduce Ashwin. I think he can do something for India.

Any way I think now you can get an idea about the situation. Please put you comment under this topic.

Don’t miss tomorrow match. It will be a close game.

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